Saturday 26 December 2009

Bryan Smart

North Yorkshire trainer, Bryan Smart, doesn’t look as if he is going to beat his best ever winner total in a year (2008 – 57, 2009 to date – 50). Having said this the trainer has had another highly respectable year and is still one to follow, albeit on a selective basis.

Numerically, sprint winners are always more prolific than at other distances for the stable. However, they have only come at a strike rate ranging from 11% to 17% over the last 4 years, which would have given a big level stake loss, so blanket betting on all stable runners is definitely not recommended.

With regard to courses, Musselburgh is the course to look out for on the turf – 21% strike rate over the last 5 seasons producing a £93 profit to a £1 level stake unit. On the all-weather it’s Lingfield which has the best strike rate but Southwell and Wolverhampton have more winners numerically.

From a month point of view watch out for plenty of winners in January and May.

Numerically, stable jockey, 28-year-old, Tom Eaves takes most rides for the stable and not surprisingly gets most winners. A very strong jockey in a finish, it is no surprise that sprint distances give him most winners and at the best strike rate. Of the lesser used jockeys watch out for Richard Mullen and Greg Fairley.

Bryan Smart is very good at getting multiple wins out of his best horses and this year has been no exception with Nickel Silver (4 wins), Captain Macarry (5 wins) and Tangerine Tree (3 wins) all being very well placed. Looking forward to 2010 names to follow are the flying grey Nickel Silver (pictured above), the classy Excellent Show, the well-handicapped Chosen One and the potential improver Striker Torres.

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