Tuesday 27 October 2009

Derek Shaw

Derek Shaw has had 17 winners so far this year and this is a big disappointment as the previous 2 years he has had 51 and 45 successes. Very little chance of him reaching those totals then but expect him to improve on his present tally over the coming months. Most of his handicappers have dropped to attractive marks and look ready to strike soon.

Shaw’s best period for winners is usually the winter months. January and February 2009 (9 winners) were better than November and December 2008 (2 winners) but the next 4 months wont necessarily repeat that trend. Previous years have shown winners to be evenly spread over the 4 winter months and the trainer will no doubt be very keen to turn round things soon as he is now on a losing run of over 60 runners.

Thirteen of Shaw’s winners this year have come on the all-weather (3 Kempton, 10 Wolverhampton) and expect this trend to continue but probably more evenly over the 4 all-weather courses. 77 out of the 96 winners in 2007 – 2008 were achieved on the artificial surfaces of Lingfield, Kempton, Southwell and Wolverhampton.

What we can be sure of is if Shaw gets his name back on the score sheet it will be with sprint winners. All the 17 winners so far this year have been between the distances 5f – 7f.

As far as jockeys are concerned Darren Williams had only one winner from 50 runners in the first five months of the year. Darren is waiting to hear from the BHA whether his ban can be lifted and from a statistical point of view it may be better that it isn’t. He only managed one winner when the stable was going quite well and before the recent slump arrived!

Currently the jockeys to look out for are probably Paul Hanagan (2009 – 3 wins), Luke Morris (2009 – 2 wins) and Graham Gibbons (2009 – 2 wins). Adam Kirby and Dane O’Neil have done well in previous years but both have only achieved one winner apiece in 2009, Kirby from 15 attempts and O’Neil from 12. Martin Lane has an even worse record with one win from 26 attempts on turf but this is an apprentice with an exciting future and if Shaw keeps faith with him expect much better results this Winter.

The trainer should also be considered when he has runners in amateur races on the all weather. He has already had two winners in such races, both achieved at Wolverhampton, ridden by Mr Ben Hamilton and Mrs Margaret Morris.

Shaw has had 3 seconds and a third in 11 races over the last 14 days. He is getting closer and better times could be just round the corner!

Smart Oss tipped a 9-1 winner Tourist trained by Derek Shaw on Saturday, 31st October, see www.tipexchange.co.uk.

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